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Analysis

SNCF Strikes: have your hotel business operations been affected?

A look at the impact of the first days of the SNCF strikes showed their negative impact on hotel occupancy. The impact varies significantly from one city to the next: while Paris was barely affected, other cities such as Lyon and Bordeaux and more generally many agglomerations in the provinces suffered more. What happened in your city?

In an earlier article SNCF Strikes 2018: Are they derailing the hotel industry? a net drop in occupancy by -7.0 points at French hotels could be observed across all three periods of SNCF strikes, even though some clientele are are reorganizing around these strikes.

But are the different agglomerations on equal footing in face of the strikes?

In the Île-de-France, and Paris proper which follows the same trend, the hotel industry held up fairly well, first of all there was no visible impact from the second round of SNCF strikes, and more generally by continuing growth in occupancy rate by +2.9 points. The difference in growth is, nonetheless, noteworthy with the unaffected period posting +10.4 points. There is thus a real shortfall in earnings, but that could have been compensated for by the current strong dynamic.

On the other hand, hotels in the provinces suffered more from these initial SNCF strikes, with occupancy rates down by -9.7 points during the strikes (versus -0.7 points outside the strikes). Other factors also succeeded in having a significant impact on business, particularly the shifted Easter calendar (which accentuates the drop recorded the night of April 2, the eve of the first day of the SNCF strike, and explains drop on April 14 and 15) and that of the school vacations that affected weekly trends in different cities depending on the vacation schedule in their school zone. Locally, major events such as the Foire de Toulouse and the calendar for the European parlement in Strasbourg, also had an impact on daily dynamics.

But globally speaking, in many provincial cities the differences between strike and non-strike periods are significant.

The greater Lyon region, the biggest rail hub in France after Paris, and Bordeaux, are highly impacted with a further drop in occupancy by close to 10 additional points during the strikes with respect to normal operating periods. This is also the case in Marseille Aix-en-Provence, Nice, Lille, Strasbourg, Caen, Douai Lens and Poitiers. But each city has a particular situation, discover our interactive graph.

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